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Telecommunication Comprehensive Report Q2/2018

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Telecommunication Comprehensive Report Q2/2018



Executive Summary

VIETNAM TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY

Vietnam telecommunication industry continues to have significant growth potential, especially in the field of 3G for mobile phones and FTTH for wired networks. In the first three months of 2018, Vietnam telecommunication industry revenue was estimated to have remained relatively flat as revenue from small businesses such as internet sales, mobile revenue and fixed income has been stable. The reason is that in the first half of the year, there was no increase in demand for mobile services-the revenue of the telecommunication industry did not grow as planned due to the new Decree on promotion programs.

According to the data from the Department of Telecommunications, by the end of Q1/2018 estimated number of Internet subscribers nationwide reached 72.04 million people, in which the number of fixed broadband subscribers has estimated at xx.xx million, equivalent to 16.37% of total subscribers using broadband Internet. In the period of 2010-2017, Internet revenue had been growing continuously over the years with an average growth rate of 30% per year and reached the peak in 2013, when OTT service of suppliers from local and abroad such as Zalo, Viber, Facebook…was booming. In the first three months of 2018, the total domestic and international connectivity continued to grow sharply compared to the end of 2017 due to improvement in technology and investment in transmission infrastructure.

In general, the trend of using 2G services has decreased sharply over the years, while 3G has been increasing continuously in recent years. After the long time trial of 4G service at the end of 2016, 3 major operators Vinaphone, MobiFone and Viettel officially launched the 4G services in early Q2/2017, along with the rapid installment of BTS 4G stations to meet the demand of people.

Revenue from mobile services in the period of 2012-2015 showed some signals of a sharp drop as average revenue per subscriber decreased. However, the revenue has been increased again since 2016. In the first three months of 2018, revenue from mobile services remained unchanged, estimated to reach about x.xx billion USD, equivalent to the figure of the same period in 2017. The number of mobile subscribers which arising charges was estimated until the end of the month 3/2018 to reach xxx.xx million subscribers, down 4.2% compared with the end of 2017. Due to the influence from the Ministry of Information and Communications issued Circular 47 on the promotion rate of mobile services, the revenue and profit of the 3 largest mobile operators which are VinaPhone, Viettel, MobiFone have been not growth compared to the same period last year.

Abbreviation

Executive summary

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Trade agreements

2. Industry overview

2.1 Current status of the telecommunications industry in the world

2.1.1 Market scale

2.1.2 Internet

2.1.3 Mobile phones

2.1.4 Landline phones

2.2 Current status of Vietnam telecommunications industry

2.2.1 History of the industry

2.2.2 Telecommunications market scale and infrastructure

Market scale

Internet

Mobile phones

Landline phones

2.2.3 Competitive analysis

2.3 Issues in industry development

Industry risks

SWOT analysis

Industry development trends

2.4 Industry planning

Industry planning

Forecast

Recommendations

3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 VNPT

3.2 VNPT-VinaPhone

3.3 Viettel

3.4 MobiFone

3.5 Evaluation of the top three business results

List of figures and tables

List of figures:

Figure 1: Revenue from typical businesses, 2014-Q1/2018e

Figure 2: GDP growth rate by quater, 2015-Q1/2018

Figure 3: Market scale of electronics retail in Vietnam by quarter, Q1/2013-Q1/2018

Figure 4: Population pyramid, 2016

Figure 5: Rate of urbanization, 2012-2017

Figure 6: World Telecommunication Market Revenue, 2005-2017e

Figure 7: Telecommunications market revenue by region, 2012-2019f

Figure 8: Number of internet users in the world, 2005-2017

Figure 9: Number of internet users by region, 2010-2017

Figure 10: Penetration rate per 100 people by region, 2005-2017

Figure 11: Number of Internet subscribers in Asia-Pacific region, 2005-2017

Figure 12: Number of fixed broadband Internet subscribers worldwide, 2005-2017e

Figure 13: Fixed broadband penetration, 2008-2017e

Figure 14: The number of fixed broadband subscribers in Asia Pacific, 2005-2017e

Figure 15: Fixed broadband penetration rates by region, 2010-2017e

Figure 16: Number of mobile broadband subscribers in the world, 2010-2017

Figure 17: Number of mobile broadband subscribers by region, 2010-2017

Figure 18: Mobile broadband penetration rates by region, 2011-2017

Figure 19: The number of mobile broadband connections in Asia-Pacific, 2010-2017

Figure 20: The penetration rate of 2G, 3G, 4G networks in the world, 2008-2020f

Figure 21: Internet penetration rate in Southeast Asia, 2016

Figure 22: 2G, 3G and 4G wireless penetration in Asia Pacific, 2008-2020f

Figure 23: Rate of monthly income/income per capita by country group, 2015

Figure 24: Number of mobile subscribers in the world, 2008-2017

Figure 25: Mobile phone penetration rates and subscribers worldwide, 2010-2016e

Figure 26: Mobile subscribers in Asia Pacific, 2005-2017

Figure 27: Mobile penetration per 100 people by region, 2010-2017

Figure 28: Top 25 telecom operators that have the highest revenue, 2016

Figure 29: Number of subscribers and fixed service penetration, 2005-2017

Figure 30: Landline phone service penetration rate by country group, 2005-2017

Figure 31: Total landline phone subscribers by region, 2005-2017

Figure 32: Penetration rate per 100 people by region, 2005-2017

Figure 33: Top 10 countries that have the highest indicators of information technology and communication development in the world, 2017

Figure 34: Top 10 countries that have the highest indicators of information technology and communication development in Southeast Asia, 2017

Figure 35: Telecoms revenue, 2011-Q1/2018e

Figure 36: FDI attraction by sector, Q1/2018

Figure 37: Number of internet users, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 38: Revenue from Internet, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 39: Number of fixed broadband internet subscribers and 3G mobile network, 2012-Q1/2018e

Figure 40: Market share (subscribers) of broadband Internet service, 2017e

Figure 41: Market share under xDSL internet subscribers, 2017e

Figure 42: Market share under FTTH internet subscribers, 2017e

Figure 43: Total Internet connection in domestic and international, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 44: 2G and 3G subscribers, 2011-Q1/2018e

Figure 45: Market share by subscribers of 2G services of enterprises, 2013-2017e

Figure 46: Market share by 3G service subscriber of enterprises, 2013-2017e

Figure 47: Number of 2G and 3G BTS stations, 2016-2017e

Figure 48: Speed of Internet access in some countries, 2017

Figure 49: Quality of 4G services of main telecom operators, 2017

Figure 50: 3G & 4G universality in some countries, 2016

Figure 51: Time to use wifi in some countries, 2016

Figure 52: Revenue from mobile services, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 53: Mobile market, 2011-Q1/2018

Figure 54: Market share (subscribers) by businesses, 2017e

Figure 55: Number of mobile subscribers by business, 2013-2017e

Figure 56: Revenue of Landline phone, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 57: Number of landline subscribers, 2011-Q1/2018e

Figure 58: Landline subscriber rate per 100 people, 2006-2016

Figure 59: Market share (subscription) of landline phone service, 2014-2016

Figure 60: Number of new and outgoing subscribers, 2015

Figure 61: Forecast for telecommunication subscriber growth, 2017f-2020f

Figure 62: Revenue from typical businesses, 2014-Q1/2018e

Figure 63: Pre-tax profit of typical enterprises, 2014-Q1/2018e

List of tables:

Table 1: Turnover by service constitutes of businesses, 2015

Table 2: Comparison among 4G package prices from typical operators, 2017

Table 3: Comparison among internet prices from typical operators, 2017

To know more information on Purchase by Section, please send a mail to sales@kenresearch.com

List of figures:

Figure 1: Revenue from typical businesses, 2014-Q1/2018e

Figure 2: GDP growth rate by quater, 2015-Q1/2018

Figure 3: Market scale of electronics retail in Vietnam by quarter, Q1/2013-Q1/2018

Figure 4: Population pyramid, 2016

Figure 5: Rate of urbanization, 2012-2017

Figure 6: World Telecommunication Market Revenue, 2005-2017e

Figure 7: Telecommunications market revenue by region, 2012-2019f

Figure 8: Number of internet users in the world, 2005-2017

Figure 9: Number of internet users by region, 2010-2017

Figure 10: Penetration rate per 100 people by region, 2005-2017

Figure 11: Number of Internet subscribers in Asia-Pacific region, 2005-2017

Figure 12: Number of fixed broadband Internet subscribers worldwide, 2005-2017e

Figure 13: Fixed broadband penetration, 2008-2017e

Figure 14: The number of fixed broadband subscribers in Asia Pacific, 2005-2017e

Figure 15: Fixed broadband penetration rates by region, 2010-2017e

Figure 16: Number of mobile broadband subscribers in the world, 2010-2017

Figure 17: Number of mobile broadband subscribers by region, 2010-2017

Figure 18: Mobile broadband penetration rates by region, 2011-2017

Figure 19: The number of mobile broadband connections in Asia-Pacific, 2010-2017

Figure 20: The penetration rate of 2G, 3G, 4G networks in the world, 2008-2020f

Figure 21: Internet penetration rate in Southeast Asia, 2016

Figure 22: 2G, 3G and 4G wireless penetration in Asia Pacific, 2008-2020f

Figure 23: Rate of monthly income/income per capita by country group, 2015

Figure 24: Number of mobile subscribers in the world, 2008-2017

Figure 25: Mobile phone penetration rates and subscribers worldwide, 2010-2016e

Figure 26: Mobile subscribers in Asia Pacific, 2005-2017

Figure 27: Mobile penetration per 100 people by region, 2010-2017

Figure 28: Top 25 telecom operators that have the highest revenue, 2016

Figure 29: Number of subscribers and fixed service penetration, 2005-2017

Figure 30: Landline phone service penetration rate by country group, 2005-2017

Figure 31: Total landline phone subscribers by region, 2005-2017

Figure 32: Penetration rate per 100 people by region, 2005-2017

Figure 33: Top 10 countries that have the highest indicators of information technology and communication development in the world, 2017

Figure 34: Top 10 countries that have the highest indicators of information technology and communication development in Southeast Asia, 2017

Figure 35: Telecoms revenue, 2011-Q1/2018e

Figure 36: FDI attraction by sector, Q1/2018

Figure 37: Number of internet users, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 38: Revenue from Internet, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 39: Number of fixed broadband internet subscribers and 3G mobile network, 2012-Q1/2018e

Figure 40: Market share (subscribers) of broadband Internet service, 2017e

Figure 41: Market share under xDSL internet subscribers, 2017e

Figure 42: Market share under FTTH internet subscribers, 2017e

Figure 43: Total Internet connection in domestic and international, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 44: 2G and 3G subscribers, 2011-Q1/2018e

Figure 45: Market share by subscribers of 2G services of enterprises, 2013-2017e

Figure 46: Market share by 3G service subscriber of enterprises, 2013-2017e

Figure 47: Number of 2G and 3G BTS stations, 2016-2017e

Figure 48: Speed of Internet access in some countries, 2017

Figure 49: Quality of 4G services of main telecom operators, 2017

Figure 50: 3G & 4G universality in some countries, 2016

Figure 51: Time to use wifi in some countries, 2016

Figure 52: Revenue from mobile services, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 53: Mobile market, 2011-Q1/2018

Figure 54: Market share (subscribers) by businesses, 2017e

Figure 55: Number of mobile subscribers by business, 2013-2017e

Figure 56: Revenue of Landline phone, 2010-Q1/2018e

Figure 57: Number of landline subscribers, 2011-Q1/2018e

Figure 58: Landline subscriber rate per 100 people, 2006-2016

Figure 59: Market share (subscription) of landline phone service, 2014-2016

Figure 60: Number of new and outgoing subscribers, 2015

Figure 61: Forecast for telecommunication subscriber growth, 2017f-2020f

Figure 62: Revenue from typical businesses, 2014-Q1/2018e

Figure 63: Pre-tax profit of typical enterprises, 2014-Q1/2018e

List of tables

Table 1: Turnover by service constitutes of businesses, 2015

Table 2: Comparison among 4G package prices from typical operators, 2017

Table 3: Comparison among internet prices from typical operators, 2017

VNPT Telecommunications Group

VNPT Vietnam Posts and Telecommunications Group - VinaPhone

Vietnam Military Telecoms Company - Viettel telecom

Vietnam Mobile Telecom Services Corporation - Mobifone


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