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Vietnam Dairy Comprehensive Report Q2/2018

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Vietnam Dairy Comprehensive Report Q2/2018



Executive Summary

VIETNAM DAIRY INDUSTRY

Dairy is an important and essential food but due to the high price compared to Vietnamese average income leading to the limitations in dairy's expenses. Dairy's spending accounts for 10% of the total food's expenditure in Vietnam. Average GDP per capita growing constantly is the important factor boosting the dairy consumption.

The world's dairy industry is highly concentrated. Total dairy consumption in developing countries is high, but consumption per capita is lower than in developed countries. In the first quarter of 2018, the dairy price fluctuated with two increases and three decreases, equivalent up 10.8% and down 2.3%.

In recent years, dairy sales in cities have not grown or kept negative growth, while dairy consumption in rural has been steadily growing at double digits. However, in the first quarter of 2018, total spending on dairy products in the whole market was lower than 5%. Especially, the negative growth in the quarter in cities was due to the fact that demand for powdered milk has not recovered.

Vietnam's dairy production was forecast to increase by about 10% in 2017 and 2018. However, production of new raw milk only met 39-40% of domestic dairy demand, the rest depended on the import source. Dairy sales in Vietnam grew strongly from VND 42,000 billion in 2010 to more than xx, xxx billion in 2017, with an annual double growth rate of 11.7% in the period 2010-2017.

Powdered milk sales in 2017 were estimated to reach xx thousand billion dong, up 14.4% over 2016. According to VDA, powdered milk sales have continuously positively grown in the period 2017-2020. The turnover in 2018 is estimated at xx.x trillion.

Vietnam's liquid milk market has an annual double growth rate of 22.4% in the period 2010-2017. Up to the first three months of this year, liquid milk sales reached VND xx.xx thousand billion, up 10.8% compared to the same period in 2017. Yogurt consumption in the first 3 months of 2018 reached about x.x billion, increasing by 10.7% over the same period last year.

Abbreviations

Executive Summary

I. Business environment

1. Macroeconomic situations

2. Legal Framework

3. Trade Agreements

II. Global market

1. Chain value of the dairy industry

2. Input materials

3. Industry situation

4. Typical producing countries

5. Key players in the world

III. Vietnam's market

1. History of establishment and development

2. Producing procedures

3. Producing technology

4. Input materials

5. Production

6. Consumption

7. Export-Import

8. Inventory

9. Price

10. Distribution

11. Competition analysis

IV. Industriral risks

1. Industriral risk

2. SWOT analysis

V. Industrial development plan

1. Population growth

2. Raising industry development

3. Dairy industry development

VI. Prospects and forecasts

1. Development incentives

2. Forecasts

VII. Business analysis

1. Overview

2. Financial analysis

VIII. Financial analysis annex

 

List of figures

Figure 1: GDP and dairy consumption per capita, 2001-2017e

Figure 2: Expenditure structure of Vietnamese people, 2017

Figure 3: Rate of urbanization in Vietnam, 2004-2017

Figure 4: Growth in urban and rural dairy consumption, 2010-Q1 / 2018

Figure 5: Total population and populstion structure in working age period 2010-2017

Figure 6: VND/USD exchange rate, 2013-3/2018

Figure 7: Monthly CPI Fluctuation 2015-3/2018

Figure 8: Consumer confidence index by quarter, 2014-Q2/2017

Figure 9: Retail sales of goods, 2010-9M/2017e

Figure 10: Dairy industry value chain and added value by stage

Figure 11: Classification of milk and dairy products

Figure 12: Number of dairy cows in the world, 2008-2017e

Figure 13: Structure of dairy cows worldwide, 2017e

Figure 14: Production of dairy cow, 2012-2018f

Figure 15: Raw milk production in the world, 2010-2017e

Figure 16: Market share of cow milk production by region, 2017e

Figure 17: Cow milk production in some areas, 2017e

Figure 18: Cost of milk production in the world 2016 (USD/100kg)

Figure 19: Price of raw milk in the world, 2014-9/2017

Figure 20: Liquid milk production and consumption, 2012-2018f

Figure 21: Fresh milk consumption per capita, 2008-2023f

Figure 22: Milk consumption per capita growth 2006-2025

Figure 23: Liquid milk trade, 2008-2023f

Figure 24: Top 10 largest export milk countries in the world by value, 2017

Figure 25: Global yogurt production value, 2000 -2017e

Figure 26: Structure of world yogurt consumption, 2015

Figure 27: Skimmed milk powder production and comsumption, 2011-2020f

Figure 28: Structure of skimmed milk powder production and consumption, 2017e

Figure 29: Skimmed Milk Powder Global Trade, 2011-2018f

Figure 30: Export structure, 2017e

Figure 31: Import structure, 2017e

Figure 32: Global WMP production and consumption, 2016-2020f

Figure 33: Production structure of WMP, 2017e

Figure 34: Comsumption structure of WMP, 2017e

Figure 35: Whole Milk Powder Global Trade, 2015-2020f

Figure 36: Export and import structure of WMP, 2017e

Figure 37: Global cheese production and comsumption, 2011-2018f

Figure 38: Cheese production structure, 2017e

Figure 39: Cheese consumption structure, 2017e

Figure 40: Export structure of cheese, 2017

Figure 41: Import structure of cheese, 2017

Figure 42: Cheese Global Trade 2011-2018f

Figure 43: Global butter production and consumption, 2011-2018f

Figure 44: Consumption structure of butter, 2017

Figure 45: Butter Global Trade 2011-2018f

Figure 46: Export structure of butter, 2017

Figure 47: Consumption of dairy products per capita, 2017

Figure 48: Price movement of milk and dairy products, 2010-3/2018

Figure 49: Consumption of milk and dairy products per capita of NZ, 2011-2018f

Figure 50: Input materials of NZ dairy industry, 2011- 2017

Figure 51: Production structure of raw milk, 2017

Figure 52: Input materials of Europe dairy industry 2010-2017e

Figure 53: Input materials of USA dairy industry, 2010-2017e

Figure 54: Consumption of liquid milk per capita in USA, 2011-2017

Figure 55: Consumption of fresh milk per capita in China, 2010-2017

Figure 56: Production and consumption of powdered milk in China, 2010-2017

Figure 57: Number of cow herbs in Vietnam, 2010-2017

Figure 58: Number of dairy cow herds by region, 2017e

Figure 59: Cow milk volume by region, 2015

Figure 60: Domestic production volume of raw milk, 2010-2017e

Figure 61: Cow structure by enterprise, 2017e

Figure 62: Import volume of raw milk, 2010-2017e

Figure 63: Raw materials structure of milk, 2017e

Figure 64: Average raw milk price in some countries, 2017

Figure 65: Price movement of raw milk in the world, 2014-3/2018

Figure 66: Number of enterprises and workers in the dairy industry, 2010-2016

Figure 67: Fixed asset value of dairy sector over the years, 2010-2016

Figure 68: Production volume of liquid milk, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 69: Production volume of milk powder, 2010 -3M/2018e

Figure 70: Production of liquid milk and powdered milk by month, 2016-3M/2018

Figure 71: Consumption sales of Vietnam dairy industry, 2010-2017e

Figure 72: Milk consumption volume, 2008-2020f

Figure 73: Dairy industry's sales, 2010-2017e

Figure 74: Dairy consumption per capita, 2008-2017f

Figure 75: Sales of powdered milk, 2006-2020f

Figure 76: Market share of powdered milk for kids, 2016

Figure 77: Sales of liquid milk, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 78: Market share of liquid milk, 2016

Figure 79: Sales of yogurt, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 80: Market share of yogurt by brand, 2017e

Figure 81: Market share of condensed milk, 2017e

Figure 82: Sales of condensed milk, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 83: Import of milk and dairy products, 2010-3M/2018

Figure 84: Import structure of milk and dairy products by HS code, 2017

Figure 85: Import market for milk and dairy products, 3M/2018

Figure 86: Export of milk and dairy products, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 87: Dairy inventory, 2010-2017e

Figure 88: Distribution system of dairy industry

Figure 89: 10 most popular beverages in rural Vietnam, 2014

Figure 90: 10 most popular beverages in urban Vietnam, 2014

Figure 91: Population and population growth forecast in Vietnam, 2008-2020f

Figure 92: Dairy cow population's targeted growth in the period of 2010-2020f

Figure 93: Forecast of fresh milk production, 2009-2020f

Figure 94: Total population and birth rate over the years, 2010-2017

Figure 95: Forecast of milk consumption in Vietnam, 2008-2020f

Figure 96: Net revenue, 2015-2016

Figure 97: Gross profit, 2015-2016

Figure 98: Gross profit margin, 2015-2016

Figure 99: Sales expenses, 2015-2016

Figure 100: Vinamilk's sales and advertising expenses, 2010-2016

Figure 101: Sales expense structure of Vinamilk, 2016

Figure 102: Administrative expenses, 2015-2016

Figure 103: Total liabilities / Total assets, 2015-2016

Figure 104: Short-term Assets/Long-term Assets, 2015-2016

Figure 105: Solvency, 2015-2016

Figure 106: Profit Ratio, 2015-2016

List of tables

Table 1: Import tax on milk and dairy products to Vietnam

Table 2: Import tariffs for dairy products applied to countries in the TPP

Table 3: Yogurt production in some areas, 2010-2015

Table 4: World's top 5 biggest butter importing countries, 2016-2017

Table 5: World's top 20 largest dairy companies, 2016

Table 6: Some brands of powdered milk in Vietnam

Table 7: Description of goods under the HS code

Table 8: Retail price of some powdered milk products for kids under six years old in 3/2018

Table 9: Forecast for some basic population indicators up to 2019

Table 10: Development planning for dairy products to 2020, vision to 2025

Table 11: Indicators for performance efficiency, 2015-2016

 

 

To know more information on Purchase by Section, please send a mail to sales@kenresearch.com

List of figures

 

Figure 1: GDP and dairy consumption per capita, 2001-2017e

Figure 2: Expenditure structure of Vietnamese people, 2017

Figure 3: Rate of urbanization in Vietnam, 2004-2017

Figure 4: Growth in urban and rural dairy consumption, 2010-Q1 / 2018

Figure 5: Total population and populstion structure in working age period 2010-2017

Figure 6: VND/USD exchange rate, 2013-3/2018

Figure 7: Monthly CPI Fluctuation 2015-3/2018

Figure 8: Consumer confidence index by quarter, 2014-Q2/2017

Figure 9: Retail sales of goods, 2010-9M/2017e

Figure 10: Dairy industry value chain and added value by stage

Figure 11: Classification of milk and dairy products

Figure 12: Number of dairy cows in the world, 2008-2017e

Figure 13: Structure of dairy cows worldwide, 2017e

Figure 14: Production of dairy cow, 2012-2018f

Figure 15: Raw milk production in the world, 2010-2017e

Figure 16: Market share of cow milk production by region, 2017e

Figure 17: Cow milk production in some areas, 2017e

Figure 18: Cost of milk production in the world 2016 (USD/100kg)

Figure 19: Price of raw milk in the world, 2014-9/2017

Figure 20: Liquid milk production and consumption, 2012-2018f

Figure 21: Fresh milk consumption per capita, 2008-2023f

Figure 22: Milk consumption per capita growth 2006-2025

Figure 23: Liquid milk trade, 2008-2023f

Figure 24: Top 10 largest export milk countries in the world by value, 2017

Figure 25: Global yogurt production value, 2000 -2017e

Figure 26: Structure of world yogurt consumption, 2015

Figure 27: Skimmed milk powder production and comsumption, 2011-2020f

Figure 28: Structure of skimmed milk powder production and consumption, 2017e

Figure 29: Skimmed Milk Powder Global Trade, 2011-2018f

Figure 30: Export structure, 2017e

Figure 31: Import structure, 2017e

Figure 32: Global WMP production and consumption, 2016-2020f

Figure 33: Production structure of WMP, 2017e

Figure 34: Comsumption structure of WMP, 2017e

Figure 35: Whole Milk Powder Global Trade, 2015-2020f

Figure 36: Export and import structure of WMP, 2017e

Figure 37: Global cheese production and comsumption, 2011-2018f

Figure 38: Cheese production structure, 2017e

Figure 39: Cheese consumption structure, 2017e

Figure 40: Export structure of cheese, 2017

Figure 41: Import structure of cheese, 2017

Figure 42: Cheese Global Trade 2011-2018f

Figure 43: Global butter production and consumption, 2011-2018f

Figure 44: Consumption structure of butter, 2017

Figure 45: Butter Global Trade 2011-2018f

Figure 46: Export structure of butter, 2017

Figure 47: Consumption of dairy products per capita, 2017

Figure 48: Price movement of milk and dairy products, 2010-3/2018

Figure 49: Consumption of milk and dairy products per capita of NZ, 2011-2018f

Figure 50: Input materials of NZ dairy industry, 2011- 2017

Figure 51: Production structure of raw milk, 2017

Figure 52: Input materials of Europe dairy industry 2010-2017e

Figure 53: Input materials of USA dairy industry, 2010-2017e

Figure 54: Consumption of liquid milk per capita in USA, 2011-2017

Figure 55: Consumption of fresh milk per capita in China, 2010-2017

Figure 56: Production and consumption of powdered milk in China, 2010-2017

Figure 57: Number of cow herbs in Vietnam, 2010-2017

Figure 58: Number of dairy cow herds by region, 2017e

Figure 59: Cow milk volume by region, 2015

Figure 60: Domestic production volume of raw milk, 2010-2017e

Figure 61: Cow structure by enterprise, 2017e

Figure 62: Import volume of raw milk, 2010-2017e

Figure 63: Raw materials structure of milk, 2017e

Figure 64: Average raw milk price in some countries, 2017

Figure 65: Price movement of raw milk in the world, 2014-3/2018

Figure 66: Number of enterprises and workers in the dairy industry, 2010-2016

Figure 67: Fixed asset value of dairy sector over the years, 2010-2016

Figure 68: Production volume of liquid milk, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 69: Production volume of milk powder, 2010 -3M/2018e

Figure 70: Production of liquid milk and powdered milk by month, 2016-3M/2018

Figure 71: Consumption sales of Vietnam dairy industry, 2010-2017e

Figure 72: Milk consumption volume, 2008-2020f

Figure 73: Dairy industry's sales, 2010-2017e

Figure 74: Dairy consumption per capita, 2008-2017f

Figure 75: Sales of powdered milk, 2006-2020f

Figure 76: Market share of powdered milk for kids, 2016

Figure 77: Sales of liquid milk, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 78: Market share of liquid milk, 2016

Figure 79: Sales of yogurt, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 80: Market share of yogurt by brand, 2017e

Figure 81: Market share of condensed milk, 2017e

Figure 82: Sales of condensed milk, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 83: Import of milk and dairy products, 2010-3M/2018

Figure 84: Import structure of milk and dairy products by HS code, 2017

Figure 85: Import market for milk and dairy products, 3M/2018

Figure 86: Export of milk and dairy products, 2010-3M/2018e

Figure 87: Dairy inventory, 2010-2017e

Figure 88: Distribution system of dairy industry

Figure 89: 10 most popular beverages in rural Vietnam, 2014

Figure 90: 10 most popular beverages in urban Vietnam, 2014

Figure 91: Population and population growth forecast in Vietnam, 2008-2020f

Figure 92: Dairy cow population's targeted growth in the period of 2010-2020f

Figure 93: Forecast of fresh milk production, 2009-2020f

Figure 94: Total population and birth rate over the years, 2010-2017

Figure 95: Forecast of milk consumption in Vietnam, 2008-2020f

Figure 96: Net revenue, 2015-2016

Figure 97: Gross profit, 2015-2016

Figure 98: Gross profit margin, 2015-2016

Figure 99: Sales expenses, 2015-2016

Figure 100: Vinamilk's sales and advertising expenses, 2010-2016

Figure 101: Sales expense structure of Vinamilk, 2016

Figure 102: Administrative expenses, 2015-2016

Figure 103: Total liabilities / Total assets, 2015-2016

Figure 104: Short-term Assets/Long-term Assets, 2015-2016

Figure 105: Solvency, 2015-2016

Figure 106: Profit Ratio, 2015-2016

List of tables

Table 1: Import tax on milk and dairy products to Vietnam

Table 2: Import tariffs for dairy products applied to countries in the TPP

Table 3: Yogurt production in some areas, 2010-2015

Table 4: World's top 5 biggest butter importing countries, 2016-2017

Table 5: World's top 20 largest dairy companies, 2016

Table 6: Some brands of powdered milk in Vietnam

Table 7: Description of goods under the HS code

Table 8: Retail price of some powdered milk products for kids under six years old in 3/2018

Table 9: Forecast for some basic population indicators up to 2019

Table 10: Development planning for dairy products to 2020, vision to 2025

Table 11: Indicators for performance efficiency, 2015-2016

 

 

Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (Vinamilk)

Nestle Vietnam Company Limited

3A Nutrition Company Limited

NutiFood Nutrition Food Joint Stock Company in Binh Duong Province

Frieslandcampina Vietnam Company Limited

TH True Milk Joint Stock Company

Moc Chau Dairy Cattle Breeding Joint Stock Company

Mead Johnson Nutrition (Vietnam) Company Limited

International Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (IDP)

KIDO Frozen Food Joint Stock Company (KDF)


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