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Future of the Egyptian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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Future of the Egyptian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023


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Future of the Egyptian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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Future of the Egyptian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023



Executive Summary

Future of the Egyptian Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

The Future of the Egyptian Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Egyptian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following-

- The Egyptian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Egyptian defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porter's Five Force analysis of the Egyptian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Egyptian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Scope

- Egypt's total defense expenditure, including US military aid, valued USD3.1 billion in 2018 and is anticipated to post a forecast-period CAGR of 6.58% to reach USD4.4 billion in 2023.

- The country has undergone a period of political turmoil since January 2011 which began with the ousting of President Hosni Mubarak following 30 years of autocratic rule and ended in the nation's first democratic elections which saw a new President being elected and deposed 13 months later.

- During the historic period, Egypt allocated an average of 16.4% of its total defense budget towards capital expenditure. However, capital expenditure's share of the overall defense budget is anticipated to increase to an average of 17.1% over the forecast period, due to the country's procurement plans. Capital investment is anticipated to be driven by the need to replace obsolete military equipment such as multirole fighter aircraft, helicopters, air defense missile systems, naval vessels, offshore patrol vessels, surveillance systems, and light weapons and ammunition.

- The MoD is expected to invest in Fighters & Multi-role Aircraft, Land Based C4ISR, Airborne C4ISR.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Egyptian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Egyptian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 9

1.1. What is this Report About? 9

1.2. Definitions 9

1.3. Summary Methodology 11

1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 12

2. Executive Summary 13

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 15

3.1. Current Market Scenario 16

3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception 16

3.1.2. Military Doctrine and Strategy 17

3.1.3. Military Fleet Size 18

3.1.4. Procurement Programs 24

3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment and Support for Defense Projects 27

3.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances 28

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 29

3.2.1. Egyptian aggregate defense expenditure, inclusive of US military aid, is anticipated to post a CAGR of 4.84% over the forecast period 29

3.2.2. Egypt's defense budget (excluding US military aid) is expected to cumulatively value USD19.5 billion over the forecast period 32

3.2.3. Perceived threats, military modernization, a strained relationship with Ethiopia, peacekeeping operations, and domestic turbulence expected to drive the country's defense expenditure 35

3.2.4. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is anticipated to decline during 2019-2023 38

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 40

3.3.1. The country's capital expenditure allocation is anticipated to increase over the forecast period 40

3.3.2. Egypt to cumulatively allocate USD3.3 billion towards defense capital expenditure (excluding US Aid) over the forecast period 42

3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure to increase over the forecast period 45

3.3.4. Egypt considered at a 'high risk' of a terrorist attack 47

3.3.5. Egypt faces moderate threats from terrorist organizations 48

3.3.6. Egypt has a terrorism index score of 7.2 50

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 51

3.4.1. Egyptian defense expenditure expected to grow at a faster pace during 2018-2022 51

3.4.2. Egypt has a relatively small defense budget 53

3.4.3. Egypt allocates 1.2% of its GDP to defense 54

3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 55

3.5.1. Top 10 Defense Market Sectors by Value (USD Million)-Projections over 2018-2023 55

3.5.2. Fighters and Multirole Aircraft 56

3.5.3. Land-based C4ISR 58

3.5.4. Airborne C4ISR 59

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 60

4.1. Import Market Dynamics 62

4.1.1. Defense imports driven by regional security dynamics 62

4.1.2. France was the leading supplier of arms to Egypt during the historic period 63

4.1.3. Aircraft and naval vessels dominate defense imports 65

4.2. Export Market Dynamics 66

4.2.1. Defense exports from Egypt were negligible during the historic period 66

5. Industry Dynamics 67

5.1. Five Forces Analysis 67

5.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: High 68

5.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: Low 68

5.1.3. Barrier to Entry: Medium to High 68

5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Low to Medium 68

5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Medium 68

6. Market Entry Strategy 70

6.1. Market Regulation 70

6.1.1. Egypt has not disclosed any offset obligation 70

6.1.2. Defense procurements lack legitimate procurement laws 70

6.2. Market Entry Route 71

6.2.1. Budgeting Process 71

6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 71

6.2.3. Government-to-government agreements are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs 72

6.2.4. Technology transfer and license manufacturing agreements provide an attractive market entry route 72

6.3. Key Challenges 73

6.3.1. Lack of transparency and corruption 73

6.3.2. Political uncertainty and internal instability discourages foreign participation 73

6.3.3. Stalled EU military aid may affect the defense industry 74

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 75

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 75

7.1.1. Egyptian defense industry is predominantly state-run 78

7.2. Key Domestic Companies 80

7.2.1. Abu Zaabal Tank Repair Factory: Overview 80

7.2.2. Abu Zaabal Tank Repair Factory: Products and Services 80

7.2.3. Abu Zaabal Tank Repair Factory: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 80

7.2.4. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Engine Factory: Overview 81

7.2.5. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Engine Factory: Products and Services 81

7.2.6. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Aircraft Factory: Overview 82

7.2.7. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Aircraft Factory: Products and Services 82

7.2.8. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Sakr Factory: Overview 83

7.2.9. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Sakr Factory: Products 83

7.2.10. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Kader Factory: Overview 84

7.2.11. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Kader Factory: Products 84

7.2.12. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Electronics Factory: Overview 85

7.2.13. Arab Organization for Industrialization-Electronics Factory: Products 85

7.2.14. Arab British Dynamics Company: Overview 86

7.2.15. Arab British Dynamics Company: Products 86

7.2.16. Helwan Factory for Developed Industries: Overview 87

7.2.17. Helwan Factory for Developed Industries: Services 87

7.3. Key Foreign Companies 88

7.3.1. Lockheed Martin: Overview 88

7.3.2. Lockheed Martin: Products 88

7.3.3. Lockheed Martin: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 88

7.3.4. Lockheed Martin: Alliances 90

7.3.5. Lockheed Martin: Recent Contract Wins 91

7.3.6. Lockheed Martin: Financial Analysis 92

7.3.7. General Dynamics Corporation: overview 94

7.3.8. General Dynamics Corporation: Products 94

7.3.9. General Dynamics Corporation: Alliances 96

7.3.10. General Dynamics Corporation: Recent Contract Wins 96

7.3.11. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: Overview 99

7.3.12. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: Products 99

7.3.13. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 99

7.3.14. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: Alliances 100

7.3.15. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: Recent Contract Wins 101

7.3.16. Boeing: Overview 102

7.3.17. Boeing: Products 102

7.3.18. Boeing: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 102

7.3.19. Boeing: Alliances 103

7.3.20. Boeing: Recent Contract Wins 105

7.3.21. Boeing: Financial Analysis 106

7.3.22. Dassault Aviation: Overview 108

7.3.23. Dassault Aviation: Products 108

7.3.24. Dassault Aviation: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 108

7.3.25. Dassault Aviation: Alliances 110

7.3.26. Dassault Aviation: Recent Contract Wins 111

7.3.27. Dassault Aviation: Financial Analysis 112

7.3.28. Thales: Overview 114

7.3.29. Thales: Products and Services 114

7.3.30. Thales: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 116

7.3.31. Thales: Alliances 119

7.3.32. Thales: Recent Contract Wins 121

7.3.33. Thales: Financial Analysis 126

7.3.34. Naval Group: Overview 128

7.3.35. Naval Group: Products and Services 128

7.3.36. Naval Group: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 129

7.3.37. Naval Group: Alliances 130

7.3.38. Naval Group: Recent Contract Wins 131

7.3.39. United Aircraft Corporation: Overview 133

7.3.40. United Aircraft Corporation: Products 133

7.3.41. United Aircraft Corporation: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 133

7.3.42. United Aircraft Corporation: Alliances 135

7.3.43. United Aircraft Corporation (UAC): Recent Contract Awards 136

7.3.44. United Aircraft Corporation (UAC): Financial Analysis 137

7.3.45. Uralvagonzavod: Overview 139

7.3.46. Uralvagonzavod: Products 139

7.3.47. Uralvagonzavod: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives 139

7.3.48. Uralvagonzavod: Alliances 140

7.3.49. Uralvagonzavod: Recent Contract Wins 141

8. Business Environment and Country Risk 142

8.1. Economic Performance 142

8.1.1. Gross Domestic Product Per Capita 142

8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product (Current USD Billion) 143

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services 144

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services 145

8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income 146

8.1.6. LCU per USD (Period Average) 147

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (USD Billion) 148

8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (Percentage of GDP) 149

8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP (LCU) 150

8.1.10. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP 151

8.1.11. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP 152

8.1.12. Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP 153

8.1.13. Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP 154

8.1.14. Foreign Direct Investment, Net (BoP, Current USD Billion) 155

8.1.15. Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP 156

8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Bn) 157

9. Appendix 158

9.1. About SDI 158

9.2. Disclaimer 158

To know more information on Purchase by Section, please send a mail to sales@kenresearch.com

List of Figures

Figure 1: Egypt-US Military Aid (USD Billion), 2014-2023 30

Figure 2: Egypt-Defense Expenditure Including US Aid (USD Billion), 2014-2023 30

Figure 3: Egypt-Defense Budget Excluding US Aid (USD Billion) vs Defense Budget Including US Aid (USD Billion), 2014-2023 31

Figure 4: Egypt-Defense Budget (EGP Billion), 2014-2023 33

Figure 5: Egypt-Defense Budget (USD Billion), 2014-2023 34

Figure 6: Egypt's GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 39

Figure 7: Egypt-Defense Budget Allocation for Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 41

Figure 8: Egypt-Defense Capital Expenditure, Excluding US Aid (EGP Billion), 2014-2023 43

Figure 9: Egypt-Defense Capital Expenditure, Excluding US Aid (USD Million), 2014-2023 44

Figure 10: Egypt -Defense Expenditure as Per Capita Defense Spend (USD), 2014-2023 46

Figure 11: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 47

Figure 12: Terrorism Index, 2018 50

Figure 13: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 52

Figure 14: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (USD Billion), 2018 and 2023 53

Figure 15: Countries with the Largest Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2018 54

Figure 16: Egyptian Fighters and Multirole Aircraft Market Size (USD Million), 2018-2023 57

Figure 17: Egyptian Land-based C4ISR Market Size (USD Million), 2018-2023 58

Figure 18: Egyptian Airborne C4ISR Market Size (USD Million), 2018-2023 59

Figure 19: Top Egyptian Defense Procurements in Terms of Their Supplier Relationships 61

Figure 20: Egypt-Defense Imports Trend (USD Million), 2013-2017 62

Figure 21: Egypt-Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 64

Figure 22: Egypt-Imports by Weapons Type (%), 2013-2017 65

Figure 23: Egypt-Defense Industry Dynamics 67

Figure 24: Lockheed Martin-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2013-2017 92

Figure 25: Lockheed Martin-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2013-2017 93

Figure 26: Lockheed Martin-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2013-2017 93

Figure 27: Boeing-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2013-2017 106

Figure 28: Boeing-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2013-2017 107

Figure 29: Boeing-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2013-2017 107

Figure 30: Dassault Aviation-Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2013-2017 112

Figure 31: Dassault Aviation-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017 113

Figure 32: Dassault Aviation-Net income Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017 113

Figure 33: Thales-Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2013-2017 126

Figure 34: Thales-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017 127

Figure 35: Thales-Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2013-2017 127

Figure 36: United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)-Revenue Trend Analysis (RUB Billion), 2012-2016 137

Figure 37: United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (RUB Billion), 2012-2016 138

Figure 38: United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)-Net Profit Trend Analysis (RUB Billion), 2012-2016 138

Figure 39: Egyptian GDP Per Capita (In USD), 2015-2025 142

Figure 40: Egyptian GDP (Current Prices USD Billion), 2015-2025 143

Figure 41: Egyptian Exports of Goods and Services (Current Prices, LCU Billion), 2005-2014 144

Figure 42: Egyptian Imports of Goods and Services (Current Prices, LCU Billion), 2004-2013 145

Figure 43: Egyptian Gross National Disposable Income (USD Billion), 2007-2012 146

Figure 44: Egyptian LCU per USD (Period Average), 2015-2024 147

Figure 45: Egyptian Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (USD Billion), 2005-2012 148

Figure 46: Egyptian Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (Percentage of GDP), 2005-2012 149

Figure 47: Egyptian Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP (LCU), 2005-2012 150

Figure 48: Egyptian Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 151

Figure 49: Egyptian Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 152

Figure 50: Egyptian Service Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 153

Figure 51: Egyptian Service Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 154

Figure 52: Egyptian Foreign Direct Investment, Net (BoP, Current USD Billion), 2005-2014 155

Figure 53: Egyptian Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2014 156

Figure 54: Egyptian Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Bn), 2005-2014 157

List of Tables

Table 1: Egypt-Army Strength, 2018 18

Table 2: Egypt-Air Force Strength, 2017 21

Table 3: Egypt-Navy Strength 22

Table 4: Egypt-Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs, 2017 24

Table 5: Egypt-Future Procurement Programs, 2017 25

Table 6: Egypt-Top Defense Procurement Programs by Value (USD Million), 2018-2023 26

Table 7: Egypt-Defense Expenditure Including US Aid, 2014-2023 29

Table 8: Egypt-Defense Expenditure (EGP Billion & USD Billion), 2014-2023 33

Table 9: Egypt's GDP Growth vs Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023 38

Table 10: Egypt-Defense Budget Allocation for Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 40

Table 11: Egypt-Defense Capital Expenditure, Excluding US Aid (EGP Billion & USD Billion), 2014-2023 43

Table 12: Egypt-Defense Expenditure as Per Capita Defense Spend (USD), 2014-2023 45

Table 13: Terrorism Index, 2018 48

Table 14: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 51

Table 15: Top 10 Egyptian Defense Market Sectors by Value (USD Million), 2018-2023 55

Table 16: Egyptian Budget Formation Timetable 71

Table 17: Competitive Landscape of the Egyptian Defense Industry 75

Table 18: Top Defense Suppliers in the Egyptian Defense Industry-By Value (USD Million) 2018-2023 77

Table 19: Abu Zaabal Tank Repair Factory-Products and Services 80

Table 20: Arab Organization for Industrialization-Engine Factory-Products and Services 81

Table 21: Arab Organization for Industrialization-Aircraft Factory-Products and Services 82

Table 22: Arab Organization for Industrialization-Sakr Factory-Products 83

Table 23: Arab Organization for Industrialization-Kader Factory-Products 84

Table 24: Arab Organization for Industrialization-Electronics Factory-Products 85

Table 25: Arab British Dynamics Company-Products 86

Table 26: Helwan Factory for Developed Industries-Services 87

Table 27: Lockheed Martin-Products 88

Table 28: Lockheed Martin-Alliances 90

Table 29: Lockheed Martin-Recent Contract Wins 91

Table 30: General Dynamics Corporation-Products 94

Table 31: General Dynamics Corporation-Alliances 96

Table 32: General Dynamics Corporation-Recent Contract Wins 96

Table 33: Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation-Products 99

Table 34: Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation-Alliances 100

Table 35: Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation-Recent Contract Wins 101

Table 36: Boeing-Products 102

Table 37: Boeing-Alliances 103

Table 38: Boeing-Recent Contract Wins 105

Table 39: Dassault Aviation-Products 108

Table 40: Dassault Aviation-Alliances 110

Table 41: Dassault Aviation-Recent Contract Wins 111

Table 42: Thales-Products and Services 114

Table 43: Thales-Alliances 119

Table 44: Thales-Recent Contract Wins 121

Table 45: Naval Group-Products and Services 128

Table 46: Naval Group-Alliances 130

Table 47: Naval Group-Recent Contract Wins 131

Table 48: United Aircraft Corporation-Products 133

Table 49: United Aircraft Corporation-Alliances 135

Table 50: United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)-Recent Contract Wins 136

Table 51: Uralvagonzavod-Products 139

Table 52: Uralvagonzavod-Alliances 140

Table 53: Uralvagonzavod-Recent Contract Wins 141

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Abu Zaabal tank repair factory

Arab Organization for Industrialization-Engine Factory

Arab Organization for Industrialization-Aircraft Factory

Arab Organization for Industrialization-Sakr Factory

Arab Organization for Industrialization-Kader Factory

Arab Organization for Industrialization-Electronics Factory

Arab British Dynamics Company - Product Focus

Helwan Factory for Developed Industries- Services

Lockheed Martin

General Dynamics Corporation

Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation

Boeing

Dassault Aviation

Thales

Naval Group (Formerly DCNS)

United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)

Uralvagonzavod (UVZ).

Defense, budget, offset, regulation, capital expenditure, homeland, drivers, market opportunities, procurement, entry route, key challenge, announcements, alliances, contract awards, financial analysis, business environment


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