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Future of the South African Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

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Future of the South African Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022


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Future of the South African Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

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Future of the South African Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022



Executive Summary

Future of the South African Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Summary

The Future of the South African Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the South African defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following

The South African defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the South African defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the South African defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the South African defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Scope

The South African defense budget valued at USD3.7 billion in 2017, a fall from USD4.2billion in 2013, and registered a CAGR of -3.18% during 2013-2017. Even though the actual budget increased in local currency, it showed a downward trend in terms of dollar value owing to variations in the exchange rate.

During 2013-2017, an average of 19.8% of the country's total defense budget was allocated to capital expenditure, while an average of 80.2% was reserved for revenue expenditure. Furthermore, capital expenditure is expected to remain constant over the forecast period. The South African Defense Force has expensive and advanced military equipment and the country will focus more on upgrade and maintenance activities over the forecast period. This had been neglected over the years due to insufficient funding and improper budget allocation, which resulted in gradual equipment wear and tear.

The MoD is expected to invest in Infantry Fighting vehicles (IFV), transport aircraft and corvettes.

Reasons to buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the South African defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the South African defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. About Strategic Defense Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Current Market Scenario

3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception

3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy

3.1.3. Military Fleet Size

3.1.4. Procurement Programs

3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects

3.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.2.1. South African defense expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.35% over the forecast period

3.2.2. Modernization initiatives, peacekeeping missions, and border security expected to drive defense expenditure

3.2.3. Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during the forecast period

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.3.1. Capital expenditure share to remain constant over the forecast period

3.3.2. Capital expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period

3.3.3. �Others� Defense accounted for the largest percentage share of the overall defense budget

3.3.4. Army expenditure to grow at a modest pace over the forecast period

3.3.5. Per-capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.4.1. Homeland security (HLS) expenditure expected to value USD8.3 billion in 2022

3.4.2. Homeland security expenditure to be driven by rising threat of global terrorism and high violent crime rates

3.4.3. South Africa faces a Moderate level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.4.4. South Africa has a score of 3.5 on the Terrorism Index

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.5.1. South African defense expenditure expected to remain low compared to leading spenders

3.5.2. The country will continue to be a small player in the global defense market

3.5.3. South African defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is lower than the majority of leading defense spenders

3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.6.1. Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFVs)

3.6.2. Transport Aircraft

3.6.3. Naval Vessels: Corvettes

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Defense imports expected to remain constant during the forecast period

4.1.2. Sweden dominated South African defense imports during 2012-2016

4.1.3. Aircraft were the major defense imports during 2012-2016

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. Defense export value declined significantly during 2012-2016

4.2.2. Ecuador dominates South African defense export market during 2012-2016

4.2.3. Armored vehicles accounted for the majority of country's defense exports

5. Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low

5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: Medium

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: High

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: Medium

6. Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. Offset policy ensures support for local companies

6.1.2. Declining FDI inflows impact business environment

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Budgeting Process

6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process

6.2.3. Foreign OEMs find alternative routes into the market

6.2.4. Joint ventures and collaborations provide market entry opportunities

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Corruption and bribery

6.3.2. Lack of transparency

6.3.3. Lack of relevant defense policy

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Public Sector Companies

7.2.1. Denel: overview

7.2.2. Denel: Major Products and Services

7.2.3. Denel: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.4. Denel: alliances

7.2.5. Denel: recent contract wins

7.2.6. Ansys Limited: overview

7.2.7. Ansys Limited: Major Products and Services

7.2.8. Ansys Limited: alliances

7.2.9. Ansys Limited: Recent Contract Wins

7.2.10. Ansys Limited: financial analysis

7.3. Key Private Sector Companies

7.3.1. Reutech: overview

7.3.2. Reutech: products and services

7.3.3. Reutech: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.4. Reutech: alliances

7.3.5. Reutech: recent contract wins

7.3.6. Saab Grintek: overview

7.3.7. Saab Grintek: products and services

7.3.8. Saab Grintek: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.9. Saab Grintek: alliances

7.3.10. Saab Grintek: recent contract wins

7.3.11. IVEMA: overview

7.3.12. IVEMA: products and services

7.3.13. IVEMA: recent contract wins

7.3.14. Aerosud: overview

7.3.15. Aerosud: products and services

7.3.16. Aerosud: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.17. Aerosud: alliances

7.3.18. Aerosud: recent contract wins

7.3.19. Global Armour: overview

7.3.20. Global Armour: products and services

7.3.21. Global Armour: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.22. Global Armour: alliances

7.3.23. Global Armour: recent contract wins

7.3.24. Milkor (Pty) Ltd: overview

7.3.25. Milkor (Pty) Ltd.: products and services

7.3.26. Milkor (Pty) Ltd.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.27. Milkor (Pty) Ltd.: recent contract wins

7.3.28. Paramount Advanced Technologies: overview

7.3.29. Paramount Advanced Technologies: products and services

7.3.30. Paramount Advanced Technologies: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.31. Paramount Advanced Technologies: recent contract wins

7.3.32. Tellumat Defense: Overview

7.3.33. Tellumat Defense: products and services

7.3.34. Tellumat Defense: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.35. Tellumat Defense: Alliances

7.3.36. Tellumat Defense: Recent contract wins

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. GDP Per Capita

8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices

8.1.3. Local Currency Unit per USD

8.1.4. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU)

8.1.5. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU)

8.1.6. Gross National Disposable Income (USD Billion)

8.1.7. Goods Exports as % of GDP

8.1.8. Goods Imports as % of GDP

8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP

8.1.10. Service Imports as % of GDP

8.1.11. Service Exports as % of GDP

8.1.12. Foreign Direct Investments

8.1.13. Net Foreign Direct Investments as % of GDP

8.1.14. Market Capitalization of listed companies (USD Bn)

8.1.15. Market Capitalization of listed companies as % of GDP

8.2. Minerals

8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9. Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

To know more information on Purchase by Section, please send a mail to sales@kenresearch.com

List of Figures

Figure 1: South African Defense Expenditure (ZAR Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 2: South African Defense Expenditure (USD Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 3: South African GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2013-2022

Figure 4:South African Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022

Figure 5: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (ZAR Billion),2013-2022

Figure 6: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (USD Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 7: South African Defense budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Others, 2013-2022

Figure 8: South African Defense Expenditure in (ZAR billion),-Breakdown by Services (Army, Air Force, Navy and Others) 2013-2022

Figure 9: South African Defense Budget in USD Billion-Breakdown by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Others) 2013-2022

Figure 10: South African Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (USD), 2013-2022

Figure 11: South African Homeland Security Budget (ZAR Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 12: South African Homeland Security Budget (USD Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 13: Terrorism Heat Map, 2017

Figure 14: Terrorism Index, 2017

Figure 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022

Figure 16: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (USD Billion), 2017 and 2022

Figure 17: Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2017

Figure 18: Naval Vessels Market Size (USD Million), 2017-2027

Figure 19: Transport Aircraft Market Size(USD Million), 2017-2027

Figure 20: Corvettes Market Size (USD Million), 2017-2027

Figure 21: South Africa Defense Imports Trend, 2012-2016 (TIV values)

Figure 22: South African Defense Imports by Country (%), 2012-2016

Figure 23: South African Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016

Figure 24: South Africa Defense Exports Trend, 2012-2016

Figure 25: South African Defense Exports by Country (USD million), 2012-2016

Figure 26: South African's Defense Exports by Category (%), 2012-2016

Figure 27: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 28: Ansys-Revenue Trend Analysis (2013-2017)

Figure 29: Ansys-Operating Income Trend Analysis (2013-2017)

Figure 30: Ansys-Net Income Trend Analysis (2013-2017)

Figure 31: South African GDP Per Capita, 2015-2025

Figure 32: South African GDP Current Prices, 2015-2025

Figure 33: South African LCU per USD 2015-2024

Figure 34: South African Exports of Goods and Services (LCU), 2005-2014

Figure 35: South African LCU per USD, 2005-2014

Figure 36: South African Gross National Disposable Income (USD Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 37:South African Good Exports as (% of GDP), 2005-2014

Figure 38: South African Good Imports as (% of GDP), 2005-2014

Figure 39: South African Goods Balance (% GDP), 2005-2012

Figure 40: South African Service Imports (% GDP), 2005-2014

Figure 41: South African Service Exports (% GDP), 2005-2014

Figure 42: South African Foreign Direct Investments (BoP, current USD billion), 2005-2014

Figure 43: South African Net Foreign Direct Investments (% GDP), 2005-2014

Figure 44: South African International Reserves, including gold (USD billion), 2005-2012

Figure 45: South African Market Capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012

Figure 46: South African Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD billion), 2005-2014

List of Tables

Table 1: South Africa's Ground Forces Strength

Table 2: South Africa Navy Strength

Table 3: South Africa Air Force Strength

Table 4: South Africa-Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs

Table 5: South Africa-Future Procurement Programs

Table 6: South African Defense Expenditure (ZAR Billion &USD Billion), 2013-2022

Table 7: South African GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2013-2022

Table 8: South African Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022

Table 9: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (USD Billion), 2013-2022

Table 10: South African Defense Budget Share (%) Split by Services (Army, Navy, Air Force and Other), 2013-2022

Table 11: South African Defense Budget Allocations in ZAR Billion-Breakdown by Services (Army, Air Force, Navy and Others) 2013-2022

Table 12: South African Defense Budget Allocations in USD Billion-Breakdown by Services (Army, Air Force, Navy and Others) 2013-2022

Table 13: South African Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (USD), 2013-2022

Table 14: South African Homeland Security Expenditure (ZAR &USD Billion), 2013-2022

Table 15: Terrorism Index, 2017

Table 16: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022

Table 17: Methodology for Offset Credits

Table 18: South Africa Budget Formation Timetable

Table 19: Competitive Landscape of the South African Defense Industry

Table 20: Denel-Product Focus

Table 21: Denel-Alliances

Table 22: Denel-Recent Contract Wins

Table 23: Ansys Limited-Product Focus

Table 24: Ansys Limited-Alliances

Table 25: Ansys Limited-Recent Contract Wins

Table 26: Reutech-Product Focus

Table 27: Reutech-Alliances

Table 28: Reutech-Recent Contract Wins

Table 29: Saab Grintek-Product Focus

Table 30: Saab Grintek-Alliances

Table 31: Saab Grintek-Recent Contract Wins

Table 32: IVEMA-Product Focus

Table 33: IVEMA-Recent Contract Wins

Table 34: Aerosud-Product Focus

Table 35: Aerosud-Alliances

Table 36: Aerosud-Recent Contract Wins

Table 37: Global Armour-Major Products & Services

Table 38: Global Armour-Alliances

Table 39: Aerosud-Recent Contract Wins

Table 40: Milkor (Pty)-Major Products & Services

Table 41: Milkor (Pty), Ltd.-recent contract wins

Table 42: Paramount Advanced Technologies-Major Products & Services

Table 43: Paramount Advanced Technologies-Recent contract wins

Table 44: Tellumat Defense-Major Products & Services

Table 45: Tellumat Defense-Alliances

Table 46: Tellumat Defense-Recent contract wins

Single User License:
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Denel

Ansys Limited

Reutech

Saab Grintek

IVEMA (Pty) Ltd

Aerosud

Global Armour

Milkor (Pty) Ltd

Paramount Advanced Technologies

Tellumat Defense

Military Expenditure, Fleet Size, Homeland Security, Defense Procurement, Infantry Fighting Vehicles, Transport Aircraft


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